The outlook from consumers improved for the month of November signaling that the concern about another recession is starting to disappear.
The Bloomberg consumer comfort index climbed to a minus 32 (which is the best reading since July) from minus 45 the previous month. The measure of current conditions climbed for the second week in a row for the period ending November 13, after sinking to an almost three-year low.
Household spending, which accounts for 70% of the economy, has picked up in the second half of the year even as stocks and confidence sank. The recovery may mean Americans are going shopping to relieve pessimism brought on by the jobless rate. The jobless rate actually was reported to drop below the 9 percent that it has been hovering around for the last year.
It sounds as though there has been pent up demand for products and that consumers are finally opening up their wallets again, although it’s too early to conclude that consumer sentiment has bottomed out.
An important indicator this week will be Black Friday and Thanksgiving sales. If consumers head out to shop this weekend despite the lack of an agreement by Congress on the debt crisis, it could mean that people are “over” the government stalemates that continue to haunt us, and are going to spend anyway. Holiday shoppers are likely to be looking for bargains again, and retailers will be competing for market share during this time frame.
Applications for unemployment decreased by 5,000 for the week as well, and is at the lowest level since April; in addition, the number of people on unemployment benefits fell to a three-year low.
Builders broke ground on more homes in October and construction permits climbed to the highest level since March 2010.
Finally, it was reported that confidence among men exceeded that of women, and Democrats are less pessimistic than Republicans for the third straight week.
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Questions on how it all relates to real estate? Please don’t hesitate to call me: 415-755-8919 or email: rsmith@ fhallen.com.
Have a Wonderful and Happy Thanksgiving!!!
Posted by:
Rick Smith


Tom Verkozen












With 95 homes on the market, the best of all San Anselmo homes – location, location, location – is this freshly on the market Yolanda Park home …

Since you asked
Amazing Day of touring … today was a beautiful, sunny day when I left Ross and drove to work in San Rafael … it became a day of values galore…
Next up, three homes in Larkspur….
Owned by the same family since 1948 this classic four bedroom four bath home features large mature gardens (with a pool that considered pushing Jim into when he came up with one of his classic remarks) and has a separate downstairs 1/1 unit. Look at the detailing …




Right now there are 27 homes available, average price per square foot of $524, days on market at 98. There are another sixteen in escrow (approximately 40%), three anticipating moving vans (all contingencies have been removed on 9 Echo, 10 Mohawk and 8 Alta Way). The average asking price of those homes in escrow is $100,000 less than the average sales price over the last year … which I take to say that buyers are buying in the lower price ranges, there are no $3.2M homes in escrow, and prices are relatively firm.
A client requested per square foot pricing information on the Walnut/Sycamore area of Mill Valley, a central, sought after part of Mill Valley with the homes fairly tightly packed together. As a sample I selected a ¼ mile radius of 200 Sycamore.
An illustration of this is easily seen when comparing the Walnut/Sycamore results to a ¼ mile radius of 310 Cascade, an area of less density, less sunlight (there are sunny spots but the perception is that much of the area is in shade), with relatively close proximity to town.
Also of interest in the Cascade sample were the seven owners who’d given up trying to sell after an average of 114 days at an average price per square foot of $700. (The giver-uppers include 310 Cascade, a marvelous home that was priced at $2,695,000 where the sellers reduced the price to $2,345,000 and just now relisted by Karen and Chelsea Hardesty with the enlarged commission of 6% and lower price of $2,250,000).





The location, location, location of the new building? … directly adjacent to the downtown San Rafael Kaiser Permente building. The Hastings Law high visibility location has its pluses and its minuses. The plus is the 44,000 people who drive past the building every day (according to the sign on Isobel’s listing or 30,879 people according to the sign on the San Rafael Corporate Center on 2nd Street) … the minus is that with that many people zipping and zapping past the property the energy is greatly impacted. To redirect the energy Finola Fitzclarence, a Berkeley classical feng shui practioner, trained by Joey Yap, was consulted. With some minor but important alterations, the building is going to be a real source of wealth building for Mr. Hastings and his clients. The most visible changes, aside from the full interior renovation, will be the color and the awning ….
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